Showing posts with label strategic planning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label strategic planning. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

مقومات نجاح التخطيط الإستراتيجى

التخطيط الإستراتيجى عملية مرنة غير جامدة تحتاج من الأطراف التى تتولاها قدرا عاليا من التفكير من استشراف المستقبل والتنبؤ بما سوف يحدث ، كما يتوقف نجاحها على عدة عناصر ينبغى توافرها على المستوى المؤسسى ، وهى :

أولا –  تفكير غير نمطى يساعد على صياغة لرؤية ورسالة المؤسسة وأهدافها الإستراتيجية واضحة
          وواقعية للمستقبل .
ثانيا – الإلتزام التام لقيادات المؤسسة بكل ماتحتويه الخطة بعد إقرارها .
ثالثا – مدى وضوح الرؤية ودرجة استيعابها من قبل قيادات المؤسسة والعاملين بها واستعدادهم
          بالمشاركة فى تنفيذها.
رابعا- حجم وعمق التحليل اللازم للعناصر المختلفة للخطة .
خامسا- تناسب الخطة مع الموارد المتاحة من ميزانية وموارد بشرية وبيئة وثقافة مؤسسية داعمة للخطة.
سادسا- مستوى الدقة فى تطوير الخطة وصياغة عناصرها ، وتطبيق عناصرها بعد ذلك .
سابعا – وجود خطة تنفيذية مفصلة لمراحل تنفيذ الخطة والأنشطة المصاحبة لكل هدف إستراتيجى وآليات
        القياس ومؤشرات النجاح وتوقيتات الإنجاز والميزانية التقديرية اللازمة .
ثامنا – توافر عنصر المرونة فى خطة التنفيذ بحيث يمكن تغيير المسار أو التدخل بقرارات تصحيحية
        عند اللزوم لو حدث تغير كبير فى البيئة المحيطة أو تأثيرات اقتصادية أو اجتماعية أو سياسية
        تستدعى ذلك .
تاسعا – إلتزام القيادات بدوام المراجعة والتقييم والتحسين والتطوير للإرتفاع بسقف التوقعات ومستوى
         جودة الأداء .
والعناصر المذكورة تؤكد على أن عملية التخطيط الإستراتيجى هى فى واقع الأمر عملية تغيير كما قلنا يقصد بها تغيير وضع آنى بآخر مستقبلى بغرض التطوير والتحسين وتحقيق أهداف تتجاوز فى طموحها ماتحقق بالفعل . ولذلك كان ولابد لأى خطة استراتيجية جيدة أن تحدد سلفا المهارات والخبرات والجدارات الشخصية المطلوب توافرها لفرق العمل التى سيناط بها تنفيذ الخطة وتدريبهم على تلك المهارات قبل بدء تنفيذ الخطة لضمان الكفاءة والفعالية طوال مراحل التنفيذ.

ويؤكد بورتر  (Porter) أن عملية التخطيط الإستراتيجى الجيدة ينبغى ألا تتجاهل بعض العناصر، وأن تأخذ فى الحسبان العوامل التالية ذات التأثير القوى على وضع أى مؤسسة بغض النظر عن نوع الصناعة التى تمثلها. وهذه المؤثرات هى :

1.   تأثير المتنافسين الجدد الذين يغريهم سهولة دخول السوق الذى لايحتاج إلى استثمارات كبيرة أو تكنولوجيا عالية فيلجأون إلى المغامرة بالمنافسة دون أن يخشوا الخسارة.
2.   قوة التفاوض التى يتمتع بها العملاء حيث تحدد قوتهم الشرائية نوع السلع التى يقبلون عليها والشروط التى يقبلونها لشرائها.
3.   القوة التفاوضية للموردين وهؤلاء أهم حلقة فى سلسلة جودة المنتجات ، ويمكنهم إذا لم يشعروا بأنهم أصحاب مصلحة فى المؤسسة أن يشكلوا قوى ضغط أو احتكارات فردية Monopoly  أو جماعية Oligopoly يحددون بها اتجاه السوق ويسيطرون على حركته ، ولذا ينصح بورتر بالتنويع فى مصادر المواد الخام أو الخدمات من خارج المؤسسة.
4.   تاثير السلع البديلة والتى تهدد فى الواقع السلع الأصلية لأنها إما أن تكون تقليدا لتلك السلع أو تمثل بديلا رخيصا يغنى عنها وبالتالى قد تؤدى على بوار تلك السلع وكساد الأسواق مالم يعلم المستهلكون الفروق بين تلك السلع والسلع الأصلية ، ومالم تنجح المؤسسة فى كسب ولاء عملائها بحيث يصرون على استخدام سلعها أو منتجاتها ولايتحولون إلى البديل .

5.   وأخيرا هناك الصراع الفعلى والحرب الدائرة بين المتنافسين فى أى صناعة للإستحواز على أكبر قسط من السوق أو إغراء العملاء وتشجيعهم على تغيير ولاءهم والتحول عن المنتجات والخدمات والمؤسسات التى اعتادوا على التعامل معها.

نحو تعريف عصرى للتخطيط الإستراتيجى

بعيدا عن التعريفات العلمية للإدارة والتى سوف نتعرض لها فى سياق الحديث عن التخطيط الإستراتيجى فإن "الإدارة" حالة يعيشها الإنسان الذى يؤمن بانتهاجها أسلوبا للحياة ، ولعل الفطرة السليمة تؤكد على ضرورة أن يحسن الناس إدارة حياتهم بالتخطيط الجيد لأهدافهم فى الحياة واستغلالهم للموارد المتوافرة لديهم لكى يحققوا تلك الأهداف .
وإذا انتقلنا إلى مكونات ووظائف الإدارة من تخطيط وتنظيم وحسن قيادة ورقابة ومتابعة فسوف نجد أنها تتسق جميعها مع هذا المفهوم . التخطيط إذن هو أول وأهم الأسس التى يقوم عليها علم الإدارة حيث أن كل مايأتى بعده يصبح بالضرورة تابعا لأهداف توضع وموارد تعد وقرارات تتخذ وأنشطة تؤدى إلى تحقيق للأهداف كما قلنا على مراحل طبقا لطبيعة الهدف الذى نسعى إلى تحقيقه . والتخطيط بهذا يصبح عملية تتكون من عناصر مختلفة تتكامل مع بعضها البعض داخل إطار علمى منضبط . ويرى البعض أن مايطلق عليه التخطيط الإستراتيجى نوع من أنواع التخطيط  للمدى الطويل تميزه عن التخطيط قصير المدى .

من وجهة نظرى أنه ليس هناك أنواع متعددة من التخطيط ، وإنما تخطيط ينبغى فى كل الأحوال أن يكون استراتيجيا طويل المدى تصاحبه خطة تنفيذية مفصلة لتحقيق الخطة يمكن تقسيمها إلى مراحل قصيرة ومتوسطة وطويلة .

وحين يتعلق الأمر بالتعليم الذى هو استثمار فى عقل الأمة وفى رأس مالها الفكرى من خلال تحسين جودة مواردها البشرية من المتعلمين ، فإن التخطيط لايمكن إلا أن يكون طويل المدى حيث العائد على الإستثمار لايتحقق بالسرعة التى تتم فى باقى مشروعات التنمية فى أى دولة . المهم هنا أن يكون واضحا أنه بلا أناس متعلمون مدربون قادرون وراغبون فى العمل فلا يمكن لأى خطة أو مشروع أن يتم بنجاح ، أى أن البداية فى نهضة الأمم تقوم على تعليم عالى الجودة يخطط له جيدا على المدى الطويل لكى ينتج خريجين يحتاجهم سوق العمل لخبراتهم ، وليس حاملوا شهادات لاتعنى بالضرورة أنهم قد أصبحوا مؤهلين للإنضمام إلى قوة العمل المؤثرة والمنتجة التى تحتاجها الدول لكى تعزز من قوتها وقدرتها على الإنطلاق والتطوير والتنمية وتحقيق الرفاهية للناس .


Thursday, March 10, 2011

تحقيق العدالة الإجتماعية فى مصر ممكن لو .....

الشكوى المتكررة من نقص الموارد أو انعدامها لكى تتحقق العدالة الإجتماعية فى مصر مجرد ذريعة تعللت بها حكومات الفاسدين والنظام الذى التهم خيرات مصر بعصابات انتشرت فى كل مكان انتشار الخلايا السرطانية فى الجسم واعتبرت مصر مزرعة يمتلكونها بمن عليها من البشر خالصة لهم دون مزاحمة من أصحاب الحق الأصليين الذين كانوا يعتبرونهم هنودا حمرا أو أنعاما يربطونها حيث يشاءون ويتفضلون عليها بملء بطونها بالعيش الحاف حين ترق قلوبهم ويتفضلون على الأجراء حين ترق قلوبهم شفقة بين الحين والآخر.
لو اتخذت الحكومة الحالية قرارا شجاعا بتشكيل لجنة لحصر الهيئات والمؤسسات التابعة لمجلس وزراء نظيف وجميع الوزارات فى حكومته التى لم تكن رشيدة ولا عادلة ولا مؤهلة لحكم مصر ، إلا إذا كان خدمة رأس الفساد والعصابة التى تحيط به هى كل المؤهلات المطلوبة لحكومة مصر ، وبالمرة فإن "طباخ السم بيدوقه" فلماذا لاينال رئيس الوزراء ووزرائه نصيبا من الكعكة بإلحاق الأبناء والأقارب والمحاسيب فى هيئات ومؤسسات لاتحتاجها مصر ويصرف عليها الملايين كل عام 80% منها يصرف رواتب ومكافآت وحوافز تدخل إ‘لى جيوب من لايستحق ويحرم منها من يؤدون العمل الفعلى "كأجراء" بضم الألف راضين بالفتات مما يفيض عن حاجة السادة.
أماكن مثل "مركز المعلومات ودعم اتخاذ القرار" التابع لمجلس الوزراء .. لو شكلت لجنة لتقصى الحقائق لوجدت أنه وكر يأوى أبناء الصفوة بدءا من رئيس حكومة مبارك إلى عدد من الوزراء إلى رئيس مجلس الشعب إلى أعضاء مجلس الشعب إلى أعضاء لجنة السياسات إلى أبناء بعض رؤساء الجامعات الذين يفرضون على رئيس المركز أو يعينهم من باب تبادل المنفعة مع بابى أو أونكل . أما وظائف الإدارة العليا والإستشاريون فهى مكافأة نهاية خدمة لمن يسبح بحمد النظام ليل نهار "يأكل ويشكر" ويتوارى فى ركن قصى هانئا قانعا بنصيبه من الغنيمة التى حصل عليها وليس أهلا لها على شكل منح وسفريات وبدلات إلى جانب الراتب المنتظم الذى يضمن له حياة سعيدة رغده من الناحية المادية بغض النظر عن حساب الآخرة وعذابها أو ماقد يصيبه فى الدنيا من عقاب ربانى لحق بمن قبله كبيرهم وصغيرهم ممن يتساوون الآن فى السجون بالقتلة والمجرمين وغدا بالمطرودين بعد أن يستعيد الشعب ملياراته المنهوبة ويوقع القصاص على رؤوس الفساد وذيولهم ويطهر مصر منهم الى الأبد إن شاء الله
لو راجعنا مرتبات العاملين بمثل هذا المركز والهيئات الأخرى التى لاتخضع لنظام الدولة ووضعنا حدا أقصى لما يحصل عليه العاملين بالدولة بعدالة تأخذ فى الإعتبار مؤهلات الموظف وخبرته العملية وقدراته الخاصة وحاجة العمل إليه والعائد من وراء تقلده للمنصب ثم أخيرا "تمكينه" من الإبداع والتنفيذ ومساعدته على رفع كفاءته بالتدريب المستمر لوفرنا ملايين الملايين نصرفها على المظلومين من الموظفين الذين يعيشون بالكاد على مرتباتهم الهزيلة . أنا على ثقة من أن الحد الأقصى لمجموه مايحصل عليه كبار موظفى الدولة لو كان 1:10 مثلا من المرتب الأساسى للموظف الجديد لكان لدينا تلك المليارات التى أتحدث عنها دون أن نكلف الدولة أعباء إضافية لتدبير الموارد التى تحتاجها لتحقيق العدالة الإجتماعية فيما يختص بمرتبات العاملين بالدولة.
ولو أعدنا النظر فى نظام الجباية المسمى بالضرائب فى مصر ، ورفعنا حد الإعفاء للموظفين الذين يقل راتبهم عن توفير الإحتياجات الأساسية للحياة وحصلنا الضرائب تصاعديا على اصحاب الدخول الكبيرة من موظفى تلك الجهات فسوف تزيد حصيلة الضرائب من جهة وسوف يتحقق جانب آخر من جوانب العدالة الإجتماعية فى مصر.
مرة أخرى أقول أن هناك هيئات ومؤسسات فى مصر يمكن دمجها توفيرا للنفقات دون أن يتأثر العمل أو نحرم موظفا من عمله إلا إذا لم يكن بنا حاجة إلى وظيفته فيمكن تدريبه على وظيفة أخرى يتقنها فيستفيد ويفيد على أسس موضوعية بحته ليس لها دخل بمصالح شخصية أو واسطة تحرم صاحب الحق من حقه وتجود به على لص يسرق ماليس له.

Wednesday, March 09, 2011

Mistakes That Block Target Achievement

At work, you’ve probably seen the same phenomenon. Companies establish all kinds of goals–from lofty missions statements to specific growth targets–then often fail to meet most of them.

Why? And what stands in the way of achieving goals? Here are five common mistakes:

1. You underestimate how hard it is to achieve the goal.


Those flabby abs? They can’t be turned into a sexy six pack in six days. Those diet books that promise full body make overs in 30 days? Not going to happen.

In reality, most meaningful goals take a lot of work to realize. If you don’t recognize from the out start that losing ten pounds, or increasing sales 10%, will take considerable time and effort, you will find it all too easy to give up once you get caught up in the day-to-day. You have to forecast the difficulties so that you are mentally prepared to meet the challenges when they inevitably arise.

2. You didn’t “own” your goal.

“I’m just doing this because my boss wants me to” is a goal that is destined for failure. If you’re just implementing a new sales strategy to please the new vice president, not because you believe in its necessity, you’re going to find it impossible to stay on course when you encounter obstacles–or just the daily interruptions.

We’re living in a perfect storm of distractions–email, cell phones, texting, IM, on demand media. It’s way too tempting to tell yourself, “I’m incredibly busy, I’ll get to this tomorrow.” In one survey, people admitted to wasting nearly two hours a day of an 8-hour work day on socializing or goofing off on the internet. Waiting for a “tomorrow” usually means never.

If you want to meet that 10% target, you need to be self-motivated and be committed to achieving it.

3. Your goal wasn’t clear, or measurable.


“Increasing customer satisfaction” is too general. You need to identify the specific, quantifiable goal (ie: improving customer retention by 5 percent), so that you can measure your progress on a regular basis. The on-going monitoring–seeing that retention inched up, or down–will reinforce your strategy and help you stay on track.

Yes, we know that there are people who argue that dieters should never get on a scale–that you can tell if you’re losing weight by how your clothes fit. But how many people actually lose weight that way? And is it really possible to keep focused on that difficult-to-achieve goal, without periodically checking in to see how you’re progressing?

4. You didn’t realize the rewards would be modest.


If you set a goal to increase sales 10%, and so far you’ve inched up sales 2%, you’re probably not going to see the confetti sprinkling down over your head. The sense of satisfaction may be limited. Progress frequently is incremental, and slower than we hope. The key is to remember that fact, so you keep plugging on.

5. You tried to do it alone.


There is a very good reason why so many diet plans encourage dieters to join to support groups. Most of us need a community of supporters who will cheer us on when the going gets tough–and, most importantly, hold us accountable. Just the sheer act of publicly acknowledging your goal can help make you accountable to achieve it.

It takes courage–and humility–to publicly admit that you need to do better. But once you do, having that band of supporters will help you stay disciplined to reach your goal.

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Enhancing Productivity

Have you ever thought of giving yourself time to think? This is time with the phone and email off, the door closed (or some other physical separation from distractions), spent pondering long-term important questions.Unfortunategly, there is no other way to think strategically with a clear mind.

Sound impossible? Don’t be so sure. Here’s how to try it.

Figure out what you’d like to think about. On your commute or during a quiet patch at night or on weekends, think through what are the big questions related to your career or organization. Choose one to start with.
Gather any material you’ll need in advance. You do not want to search through your email to find a report… and then answer 10 other emails and follow a link to an interesting article your colleague sent and then, hey! Is it noon already?
Seize the time. No one is going to say “Hey, here’s an hour where nothing else will happen!” You’re going to have to take the lead on this one. If you can leave your office during the day, go somewhere nearby and quiet. Do a work-from-home day or morning if that’s possible for you. If you have an office, shut the door. If you’re in a cube, reserve an empty conference room. Don’t bring your phone to be “available” if someone needs you. The point is to be unavailable.
Start small. The hardest part about strategic thinking time is actually maintaining your focus. So you may need to take baby steps. For your first session, aim for 30 minutes truly focused on the question at hand. Set your watch. If your mind wanders, bring it back.
Make it a habit. If you make it through 30 minutes, congratulate yourself. Then try again later in the week. If you manage to do three 30-minute sessions a week for several weeks in a row, aim bigger.

Friday, January 29, 2010

الديموقراطية تبدأ باستطلاعات الرأى

الذين حضروا المؤتمر الدولى الثانى لاستطلاع الرأى بالقاهرة الأسبوع الماضى ربما يخرجون بانطباع واحد أكدته البحوث التى قدمت والكلمات التى ألقيت يتلخص فى أن الديموقراطية الحقيقية فى أى بلد لابد وأن تبنى على استطلاع آراء الناس حول القضايا التى تهمهم والتى تعتبرها الحكومات مؤشرات قوية تحدد أولوياتها وتبنى عليها خططها.. ومنذ أن نبه عالم الإجتماع الأمريكى "تشارلز هورتون كولى" فى 1918 النظر إلى أهمية عملية التواصل بين الحكومات والناس من خلال بحوث الرأى العام أخذت أهمية تلك البحوث فى التعاظم وتزايدت أعداد مراكز استطلاع الرأى فى العالم لتغطى مابين حكومى وخاص ، تغطى استطلاعاتها كافة نواحى الحياة اقتصاديا وسياسيا ودينيا واجتماعيا على امتداد الكرة ألأرضية بقاراتها الستة.
وفى ظل تورة الإتصالات التى يعيشها العالم الآن إزدادت مساحة التغطية فى استطلاع آراء الناس واصبح هناك نوع من "التمكين" لفئات لم يكن يمكن أن يسمع صوتها لو لم تتح لهم وسيلة سهلة وسريعة لإبداء آرائهم ، وأصبح الناخبون يشاركون فى الإدلاء باصواتهم لاختيار مرشحيهم من أى مكان فى العالم ، ولم يعد الأمر قاصرا على مراكز استطلاع الرأى الرسمية تحتكر المعلومات وتوجهها حيثما تشاء ، بل اصبح فى مقدور الناس أن ينشئوا مراكزهم الخاصة المستقلة عن الحكومات، ومن خلال المدونات الشخصية التى يحررونها .. وتبارت الصحف وأجهزة الإعلام لكى تستطلع رأى قرائها ومشاهديها فى الكثير من القضايا المثارة والخلافية حول شئون الوطن.. أصبح العالم شبكة اتصالات واحدة عملاقة يتواصل من خلالها الناس ويشاركون بالرأى الذى يتخطى دون عوائق اى حدود ، وأصبح اهتمامات الناس عالمية وليست إقليمية أو محلية فى مشاكل البيئة والغذاء وندرة المياه واسلحة الدمار الشامل وتجنب الكوارث.
الموضوع إذن أكبر بكثير من مجرد إنشاء مراكز لاستطلاع الرأى وإنما يتعدى ذلك إلى أن يكون "مرصدا" لكل مايدور فى المجتمع والعالم من حولنا ، يحلل ويخرج بآراء مدروسة يضعها أمام واضع السياسات فتكون القرارات التى تصدر متوافقة مع مايتوقعه الناس.
من هذا المنطلق تحولت مراكز استطلاعات الرأى فى العالم تدريجيا إلى "مراكزفكر" يتم بداخلها أول مراحل صنع القرار من المادة الخام التى تمثلها آراء الناس تجاه قضية ما .. وربما كان ذلك وراء المبادرة التى خرجت من المؤتمر بتكوين "شبكة عربية لمراكز استطلاع الرأى" فى العالم العربى لكى تكون كيانا عملاقا تتكامل فيه الإمكانات الهائلة المتوافرة لدينا .. وأهمية تلك الفكرة هى أنه بوضعنا الراهن ليس هناك وسيلة نرد بها على نتائج استطلاعات الرأى التى تخرج علينا بها كل حين المراكز العالمية المرموقة فى هذا الشأن والتى قد يشوبها تحيزات خاصة قد "توجه" الإستقصاء فيخرج بنتائج غير دقيقة .. فكرة نبيلة وجيدة لو توافر لها إمكانات النجاح وأولها أن تأخذ شكلا مؤسسيا يحدد رؤيتها ورسالتها وأهدافها ومنهج اختيار أعضاءها وطريقة إدارتها وصيانتها حتى لاتترك للإجتهادات الشخصية أو التصارع على المناصب أو محاولات التأثير على عملها ، وبحيث لاتتبع الحكومات فى البلدان العربية المشاركة فيها حتى تكتسب المصداقية التى تكتسبها مراكز الفكر المستقلة مثل "جالوب" الذى يعمل منذ سبعين عاما ولايقتصر عمله على استطلاعات الرأى بل تتبعه الآن جامعة تحمل إسمه تمنح أعلى الدرجات العلمية ، ودار نشر ضخمة تطبع أعماله بكل اللغات ، وهيئات استشارية تضم الخبراء والمتخصصين فى علوم الإدارة والإحصاء والسياسة والإجتماع .. بدون هيكل مؤسسى تصبح فكرة تلك الشبكة فكرة رومانسية تصلح للكلام عنها فى المنتديات والمؤتمرات دون أن يكون لها تأثير يذكر على توجيه السياسة العامة للبلدان العربية وتحولها إلى مجتمعات ديمقراطية.
هذا مايحدث بالخارج ، فماذا يحدث عندنا ؟ باستثناء عدد لايتجاوز أصابع اليد الواحدة من مراكزالمعلومات واستقصاءات الرأى فى مصر والتى تتمركز جميعها بالعاصمة والتى تنجز عملها بحرفية عالية تستند إلى قواعد العلم – بغض النظر عما إذا كان صانع القرار يأخذ بالنتائج التى تتوصل إليها من عدمه - فإن كثيرا من الهيئات والجهات إنجرفت إلى إغراء المكاسب المادية الرخيصة من تشجيع الناس على أن يبدو آراءهم فى موضوعات بسيطة ولكنها مثيرة تجظى بشعبية كبيرة تجتذب من يملكون تليفونا محمولا وتغريهم بحصد جوائز قيمة لو أبدوا آراءهم أو شاركوا فى مسابقة تعتمد على الرأى مثل التعرف على شخصية ما أو مؤلف أغنية أو التنبؤ بنتيجة مباراة مما يشيع ثقافة التسطيح ويجهض الغرض النبيل من وراء توسيع قاعدة المشاركة الشعبية فى إدارة شئون الوطن ويمكن أن يحدث تحولا جذريا فى ثقافة اللامبالاة والسلبية التى تهدد البقية الباقية من الأمل فى الإصلاح.

Thursday, April 02, 2009

حسن يتحالف الناس مع الحكومة فى إفقار مصر

سؤال يحيرنى من مدة طويلة : هل مصر فعلا دولة فقيرة ، أم أنها تملك مقومات الدولة " المستورة " ولكن سوء إدارة موارد الدولة أدى إلى أن ننضم إلى طابور الدول التى تجاهد لكى يملأ غالبية مواطنيها لكى يملؤوا بطونهم بالعيش الحاف ؟ الدخل القومى لمصر يبلغ 617 بليون جنيه ومعدل التنمية بها 2ر7% طبقا لتقديرات البنك الدولى لعام 2007 أى أن متوسط دخل الفرد من الناتج القومى ينبغى أن يكون 7700 جنيه فى العام . إذا أضفنا إلى ذلك 26 مليار دولار تلقتها مصر كمعونات أقتصادية من الولايات المتحدة وحدها وأنفقتها فى إطار برنامج التعاون الإقتصادى بين مصر وأمريكا منذ عام 1973 وحتى الآن (415 مليون دولار فى المتوسط سنويا باستثناء المعونة العسكرية التى تبلغ نصف ماتتقاضاه إسرائيل طفل أمريكا المدلل، خفضت هذا العام إلى 200 مليون فقط) .. انتبهت مصر مؤخرا – كما لو أننا كنا نجهل ذلك – أن بقاء المعونة رهن بشروط تخدم مصالح الجهة المانحة فى المنطقة فأبدت تحفظاتها على ربط المعونة بإجراء إصلاحات ديموقراطية وتحسن فى القضايا المتعلقة بحقوق الإنسان والإنتهاكات التى تتم فى هذا الشأن .. وماذا عن حصيلة بيع القطاع العام والتى بلغت 48 مليار جنيه حتى آخر يونيه 2006 ؟ ثم ماذا عن ال 700 مليار الودائع الموجودة فى البنوك والتى لاتوظف فى خطط التنمية إما خوفا أو جهلا ..أغلب الظن أن معظمها وجه لسداد أقساط الدين المحلى والخارجى .. كيف يكون لدينا كل ذلك وهناك عجز فى الميزانية يبلغ 100 بليون جنيه و20% من مواطنينا يعيشون تحت خط الفقر ؟ لابد وأن هناك أسبابا لذلك التناقض .. هل يمكن أن تخرج الأسباب عن سوء إدارة إصول الدولة ومواردها بحيث لاتحقق خطط التنمية حتى الحد الأدنى من حاجات الناس فى عمل يضمن دخلا معقولا وسكن يؤويهم ومدرسة يتعلم بها أبناءهم ومستشفى يعالجون فيه ووطن ينعمون فيه بالإستقرار والأمان ؟ السؤال الأصعب هو : هل يسهم الناس أنفسهم فى تدهور أحوالهم الإقتصادية فيزيدون الأمر سوءا ويسهمون بسوء تخطيط حياتهم فى المعاناة التى يشكون منها ؟ هل يمكن أن يكون سوء التخطيط قاسما مشتركا بين الحكومة والشعب بما يؤدى إلى أن تسوء الأمور إلآ نقطة اللآعودة إلا بتغيير جذرى تفوق تكاليفه قدرتنا المحدودة على إدارة التغيير؟ للإجابة على هذا السؤال الصعب لابد وأن نرصد بعض الأمثلة الصارخة على ماآل إليه حالنا من سوء الإدارة:

· المعونة الأمريكية يصرف معظمها على 26 ألف خبير أمريكى يعملون فى مصر ويحصلون على 35% من إجمالى قيمة المعونة سنويا (11 ألف فى التعليم و8 آلاف فى الزراعة و5 آلاف فى مجالات البنية التحتية والخدمات) أما الباقون الذين يصل عددهم إلى حوالى ألف خبير فيعملون فى مراكز البحوث العلمية والمعلومات والأرصاد ،اسواق المال والعقارات .. يضاف إلى هؤلاء 22 مكتبا استشاريا أمريكيا يعملون فى مجال تقييم أصول الشركات العامة المطروحة للخصخصة فى إطار برامج "بيع مصر" الذى يجرى على قدم وساق .. هؤلاء يتقاضون وحدهم 35 مليون دولار سنويا عبارة عن أجور ورواتب لمساعدتنا فى الإسراع بعملية بيع أصول الوطن وليس بالضرورة لأعلى سعر. تستفيد أمريكا إقتصاديا من برنامج المعونة الإقتصادية أكثر بكثير مما تستفيد مصر .. ويكفى ان نعلم أن 1200 موردا أمريكيا حصلوا على مليار و634 مليون جنيه خلال السنوات العشر الماضية مقابل معدات وآلات تم توريدها لمشروعات المعونة فى مصر ، أى مايعادل 20% من حجم المعونات الأمريكية التى حصلت عليها مصر، بالإضافة إلى 60 شركة مقاولات أمريكية تعمل فى مصر وتتولى تنفيذ مشروعات المعونة وتسندها من الباطن لشركات مصرية.. وهناك دراسة أعدها المركز المصرى للدراسات الإقتصادية تقول أن إجمالى الاستشارات والمساعدات الفنية لمشروعات المعونة الأمريكية قد وصل خلال العقدين الماضيين إلى 4 مليارات دولار، وأن متوسط مايحصل عليه الخبير الأمريكى الواحد شهريا يتراوح مابين 6 آلاف إلى 10 آلاف دولار. المعنى أن مصر بجلالة قدرها لم تستطع خلال النصف قرن الماضى أن تعد خبراء مصريين يكفون لإدارة مشروعات التنمية بها والبركة فى نظام التعليم الفاسد الذى ينتج خريجين أسماءهم هى الشيئ الوحيد الذى يعرفونه ولايخطئون فى كتابته بلغتهم الأم فمابالك بأى لغة أخرى .

· من جهة أخرى تعالوا نطل على سلوك الإنفاق الشعبى وأولوياته لدى الناس .. فى مقابل مليارات الحكومة الضائعة فإن الناس فى مصر يصبح لهم الحق فى إنفاق المليارات "ومافيش حد أحسن من حد" .. المصريون يدخنون 4 مليارات علبة سجائر سنويا ، وهم بذلك ينتقمون من الحكومة مرتين : مرة بتلويث الجو ، ومرة بحاجتهم للعلاج المجانى الغير متوفر حاليا .. من بين المدخنين فى مصر 14 مليونا ممن هم تحت سن 15 سنة وهؤلاء أيضا فريسة لك أنواع المخدرات التى تعصف بالضئيل المتبقى من عقولهم وأجسامهم ويجعلهم طول الوقت يعيشون فى منطقة اللآوعى التى تهرب بهم من الواقع الأليم الذى يعيشونه .. والمصريون يتكلمون فى تليفوناتهم المحمولة بما قيمته 7 مليارات جنيه ، ويرسلون لبعضهم رسائل ب 600 مليون أخرى ، ويشتركون فى مسابقات الرنات والنغمات من أول هيفاء وهبى إلى الآذان والأدعية وطمعا فى الجوائز ب 600 مليون أخرى .. أصبح عدد المشتركين فى المحمول فى مصر 32 مليون مشترك بعد أن كان مجموعهم 18 مليون عام 2006 .. أما مشتركى التليفون الثابت فقد بلغ عددهم 12ر11 مليون حتى نهاية عام 2007 .. وبلغت إيرادات الشركة المصرية للإتصالات محتكر الخطوط الأرضية فى مصر عن نفس المدة 12ر10 مليار جنيه . الصناعة الوحيدة التى لن تبور ولن يلحقها أى أذى من جراء الأزمة الإقتصادية العالمية هى صناعة الإتصالات لأن المصريين يحبون أن يتكلموا .. وجدوا فى الموبايل متنفسا لأن يبوحوا بأسرارهم وأن يلعنوا الحكومة وأن " يفتوا " فيما يعرفون ومالايعرفون وأن يتبادلوا النكات يفلسفون بها عجزهم عن تغيير الواقع المرير الذى يعيشونه.. ينتقم الناس من الحكومة بطريقتهم الخاصة : ترتفع الضرائب فتنقص الإيرادات 30 مليارا .. المشكلة هنا ليس فى الكلام أو فى سوء استخدام أجهزة التليفون " للرغى " وإنما فى أنه بحساب الإقتصاد فإن المليارات التى تصرف تضيع هباء على الناس وتستفيد منها شركات الإتصالات ولايقابلها أى قيمة مضافة أو عائد ملموس على الناتج القومى لمصر ومن ثم لايستخدم كله أو جزء منه فى خطط التنمية ولا فى خلق فرص عمل ولا فى تحسين أحوال الناس ودخولهم .. هل ارتفاع معدلات الأمية فى مصر وراء تلك الظاهرة الفريدة فى استخدام المحمول ( الحكومة تقول أن عددهم 17 مليونا والمنظمات الدولية تقول ضعف ذلك ) ؟ .. من أين لبائع متجول أو عامل نظافة أو بواب أن يشترى تليفون حتى ولو كان صينيا يتحدث فيه طول الوقت، ومن أين له شراء خط أو شحن هذا التليفون بكارت ، وكيف يكون مع كل أسرة معدمة أكثر من تليفون فى يد الإبن والإبنة .. أعلم أن الحرفيين لايستعملون تليفوناتهم إلا لقضاء مصالحهم الخاصة وللدردشة مثل باقى خلق الله ، ويتركون عبء الإتصال بهم على عملائهم بطريق " حديك رنة وانت تطلبنى " ولكن يظل أمر تدبير تكاليف حمل تليفون محمول يحل تدريجيا محل التليفون الثابت الذى أصبح متوفرا يظل محل تساؤل عن معيار الفقر فى مصر .

· ترتيب مصر هو 120 من بين 177 دولة يشملها دليل التنمية البشرية ، بينما تأتى إسرائيل فى المرتبة 22 والبحرين 40 والكويت 44 وقطر 47 والإمارات 49 وكوبا 52 وهى المحاصرة إقتصاديا منذ الستينيات من هذا القرن .. شماعة العدد وتزايد السكان أصبحت حجة واهية بعد انطلاق التنين الصينى ليغزو دول العالم أجمع بسلع رخيصة يقبل عليها الناس فى الدول الفقيرة بعد أن تحول كل بيت فى الصين إلى وحدة منتجة وفشلنا نحن بكل الصناديق التى أنشأناها أن نخلق فرص عمل تستوعب أعداد الخريجين بمئات الألوف كل عام .. إن من يعيشون تحت معدل 2 دولار يوميا (خط الفقر طبقا لمؤشرات الأمم المتحدة) يبلغ عددهم 7ر52 % رغم أنف تصريحات وزير التخطيط الذى لايوافق حتى على التقديرات المتحفظة التى تحدد العدد ب 34 مليون مصرى .. التفاوت الطبقى فى مصر مخيف ومحير فى نفس الوقت .. أعنى 20% من السكان يحصلون على 6ر43% من الدخل القومى بينما أفقر 20% لايتحصلون سوى على 6ر8% .. والفارق بين الإثنين هو أن فى مصر أناس لايجدون نظريا رغيف عيش حاف يسدون به رمقهم ، وأناس ينفقون على الإحتفالات الصاخبة برأس السنة 5ر5 مليار جنيه سنويا ونفق الفرد منهم مابين 20 – 30 ألف جنيه يوميا .. حتى موظفو الدولة البالغ عددهم 5ر5 مليون موظف لم تتحرك مرتباتهم منذ عام 80 وهم بذلك ينضمون إلى طابور المحتاجين وتمثل الفجوة بين دخولهم المتدنية وسد حاجاتهم الأساسية حجم الرشوة والفساد المنتشرين على نطاق واسع الآن فى مصر.

المعنى أن الحكومة تسيئ إدارة موارد الدولة وتبيع أصولها وتدخل فى مغامرات غير مدروسة ومشاريع عملاقة لاتتوافر لها عناصر النجاح ولاتأتى بعائد سريع يساعد فى تحويل مصر تدريجيا إلى دولة نامية وليس دولة "نائمة" .. والناس بدورهم يعيشون فى جهل بما يدور حولهم .. تخدرهم كلمات الحكومة بأن الأحوال عال العال وأن المن والسلوى سوف يوزع على البيوت صباح كل يوم وأنه ليس مطلوبا منهم سوى الاستسلام للأمر الواقع وسوف تتولى الحكومة حل كل المشكلات إن لم يكن اليوم فباكر .. الحكومة توزع " مورفين الأمل " على الناس بالتساوى ، فلا يجدون حاجة لترشيد إنفاقهم ولا للتخطيط لحياتهم .. ليس هناك أدوار توزع ، وليس هناك التزام يحترم .. للناس حق الصراخ ، وللحكومة حق اتخاذ القرارات بموجب التوكيل على بياض الذى وقعته لنفسها نيابة عن شعب مصر بأكمله .

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

المطبخ السياسى وتأثيره على صانع القرار

أسلوب الصدمة الذى اتبع فى إعلان حركة المحافظين وتعديل حدود المحافظات وإضافة محافظتين جديدتين ليس له فى نظرى غير معنى واحد : إن التشدق بأننا دولة مؤسسات ينبغى أن يتوقف حتى لانصبح مادة ثرية للسخرية فى المحافل الدولية ، وحتى لاتزيد فجوة الثقة بين الشعب والحكومة التى تفقد مصداقيتها بسرعة الصاروخ بعد أن كادت تصبح حكومة ظل لحكومة أخرى يبدو أنها تعمل تحت الأرض لكى تسير مصر بقوة الدفع الذاتى التى يعلم الله إلى أين ستأخذنا. لدينا مجلس للشورى المفروض فيه أن يناقش القرارات والقوانين قبل صدورها لكى نتفادى أية أضرار تلحق بالناس من جراء تطبيق القوانين نتيجة للثغرات التى قد توجد، وتجنبا لعدم الدستورية وهو أمر وارد نتيجة لترسانة القوانين التى ترصع رفوف المشرعين عندنا. ولدينا مجلسا للشعب يناقش هو الآخر أية قوانين قبل إقرارها لنفس الأسباب. ولدينا منظمات المجتمع المدنى المفروض أنها صاحبة الحق فى أبداء آرائها فى القوانين التى تمس جموع المواطنين الذى تدافع تلك المنظمات عن حقوقهم المشروعة فى المواطنة والمشاركة باعتبارهم على رأس أصحاب المصلحة فى كل ماينظم شئون حياتهم. ولدينا المثقفون وأهل الفكر والكتاب والصحفيين بفئاتهم المختلفة من أصحاب الرؤي الذين يمكن أن يسهموا بآرائهم فى التغييرات الجذرية التى تنوى الدولة أن تقوم بها. لدينا كل هؤلاء، ولكنهم طالعوا مثل أى عابر سبيل أنباء ماحدث فى الصحف بعد أن أصبح واقعا وقانونا واجب النفاذ.
كلنا لم نكن نملك سوى أن نمصمص الشفاه باعتبار أن ماحدث وجبة فاسدة أخرى تضاف إلى رصيد الوجباب الفاسدة التى يعدها المطبخ السياسى لصانع القرار ويخفى فسادها بالاهتمام بطريقة التقديم وتزيين الأطباق التى تقدم فيها.
وحتى حينما حاول وزير االأسكان والتنمية الإدارية أن يجملا الصورة بنفى أن قرارات تقسيم المحافظات لم تكن فجائية وإنما استغرقت الدراسة سنوات (طبقا لتصريحات وزير الإسكان فى مجلس الشعب)أو بناء على دراسة قامت بها إحدى الشركات العالمية المتخصصة لمدة تسعة شهور كاملة طبقا لتصريحات وزير الشئون الإدارية فإن ذلك يحسب على الحكومة وليس لها طالما توافر الوقت الكافى لمناقشة إعادة تقسيم حدود المحافظات مع كل أصحاب المصلحة كما تقدم. ولعل الأخطاء التى ظهرت بعد ذلك تقنع الحكومة بأن مادفع نظير الدراسة يساوى النتائج التى تحققت. أضطرت الدولة أن تتراجع بالتدريج عن الحدود التى صدر بها قرارات جمهورية لمواجهة بعض الأخطاء الفادحة أو نتيجة لضغوط شعبية اعترضت على التقسيم فى اليوم التالى مباشرة من صدور القرارات الجمهورية. وأضطرت بعد عدة أيام فقط – تجنبا للطعن بعدم دستورية القرارات – بأن تصدر تعديلا آخر يبقى " موقع " – ولا أقول حيا أو منطقة بكاملها – المحكمة الدستورية العليا على كورنيش النيل تابعا لمحافظة القاهرة بدلا من حلوان كما كان مقررا. المحافظات الجديدة ليس لها مقار، ولا وحدات لخدمة الجماهير، ولم يعلن بعد عن الإجراءات التى ستتخذ " لتغيير هوية " الناس الذين يقعون فى زمامها من لوحات سيارات إلى البطاقات الشخصية وحتى التعامل مع وحدات الإدارة المحلية، ولا أظن أن أحدا سوف يحاول فى القريب العاجل أن يوضح تلك المسائل للناس لأنى على يقين من أن المسئولين الذين فوجئوا بقرارات التقسيم سوف يظلون فاقدى التوازن لفترة طويلة لحين صدور توجيهات وتعليمات عليا تحدد لهم المطلوب كما هو الحال فى كل قرارات سيادية تصدر. والتقسيمات الجديدة تحتاج إلى ميزانيات ضخمة، وإلى "إعادة جدولة" لموارد كل محافظة لكى تتمكن المحافظات الجديدة من أداء مهامها، وفى نفس الوقت تعيد المحافظات القديمة التى قطعت أوصالها حساباتها وترتيب أوراقها على ضوء الموارد المتاحة لها بعد التقسيم. وسوف تعلن حروب خفية وظاهرة من قبل أصحاب المصالح السياسية والإقتصادية للدفاع عن مصالحهم، وليس خافيا ماتردد من أن ترشيحات لمحافظين الجدد تعكس تلك الحرب الخفية حتى فى صفوف الحكومة نفسها. بل إن البعض ذهب إلى الجزم بأن التقسيمات الجديدة إنما روعى فيها مصالح فئة من رجال الأعمال على حساب ضرب مصالح البعض الذين يراد تحجيمهم فى مجالات البناء والتشييد وإقامة المدن الجديدة.
وأى محلل منصف لايستطيع أن يتجاهل العدد الكبير من المحافظين الجدد الذين لايعرف الناس عنهم شيئا ولم "يضبط أحدهم متلبسا" بعمل قومى كبير فى محافظته يشهد له بالكفاءة وبعد النظر والقدرة على القيادة والإنجاز. بعضهم لايملك سوى عضويته فى لجنة السياسات، وبعضهم أثبت فشلا فى إدارة المؤسسات التى كانوا على قمة السلطة فيها فكيف يكافئوا بتعيينهم محافظين المفروض أن لهم سلطات رئيس الدولة فى الأقاليم التى سيتولون إدارة شئونها ؟ الدول الديمقراطية فى الخارج تختار مبدئيا المرشحين لمناصب المحافظين وحكام الأقاليم ، ولكنها تطرح أسماءهم على نواب الشعب لكى يقولوا كلمتهم أولا معبرين عن القواعد الشعبية التى يمثلونها قبل أن تصدر القرارات اللازمة بتعيينهم. وتظل مكاتب نواب الشعب بالمجالس التشريعية مفتوحة فى تواصل دائم مع الناس لكى يبدو آراءهم خلال فترات محددة وبطريقة منظمة تسمح بأن يصوت الناس لمن يرون أنه سوف يدافع عن مصالحهم ويحقق طموحاتهم. والدول الديمقراطية تتعامل بشفافية فيما يختص بالمنهج الذى يطبق فى اختيار من يتولى وظيفة عامة حساسة مثل المحافظ : تبحث فى خلفيته العلمية ، وفى ذمته، وفى سمعته، وفى إنجازاته وخبراته العملية التى تتناسب مع مسئوليات لمنصب الذى سوف يتولاه وأولها مهاراته فى الإدارة وقيادة التغيير والحلول الابتكارية للمشاكل والعمل تحت ضغط. أما عندنا فهى " طبخه " سياسية تخضع لعوامل معظمها شخصى يعتمد على الإنتماء والقدرة على تسييس الأمور، والمكافأة بتولى المناصب وتوزيعها لمن يصبه الدور وليس للأكفأ. وسوف يظل الناس فى مصر يتساءلون : "من هؤلاء وعلى أى أساس تم اختيارهم؟" ، وبالطبع لن يجيبهم أحد على تساؤلهم فالقرارات السيادية فى بلادنا لاتناقش ، وقريبا سوف يتبع حركة المحافظين تغييرات وزارية سواء محدودة أو موسعة وبنفس طريقة الصدمة التى اعتدنا عليها فلم يعد المواطن يفرق بين زيد أو عمرو مادامت الأحوال تسير من سيئ إلى أسوأ، ومادام الحصول على رغيف الخبر سوف يظل هو المؤشر الوحيد الدقيق على نجاح أو فشل أى حكومة حالية أو قادمة فى توفير " العيش الحاف" لمواطنى مصر الصابرين.

Monday, October 22, 2007

Managing Transition in TQM

Steps in Managing the Transition
Beckhard and Pritchard (1992) have outlined the basic steps in managing a transition to a new system such as TQM: identifying tasks to be done, creating necessary management structures, developing strategies for building commitment, designing mechanisms to communicate the change, and assigning resources.
Task identification would include a study of present conditions (assessing current reality, as described above); assessing readiness, such as through a force field analysis; creating a model of the desired state, in this case, implementation of TQM; announcing the change goals to the organization; and assigning responsibilities and resources. This final step would include securing outside consultation and training and assigning someone within the organization to oversee the effort. This should be a responsibility of top management. In fact, the next step, designing transition management structures, is also a responsibility of top management. In fact, Cohen and Brand (1993) and Hyde (1992) assert that management must be heavily involved as leaders rather than relying on a separate staff person or function to shepherd the effort. An organization­wide steering committee to oversee the effort may be appropriate. Developing commitment strategies was discussed above in the sections on resistance and on visionary leadership.
To communicate the change, mechanisms beyond existing processes will need to be developed. Special all­staff meetings attended by executives, sometimes designed as input or dialog sessions, may be used to kick off the process, and TQM newsletters may be an effective ongoing communication tool to keep employees aware of activities and accomplishments.
Management of resources for the change effort is important with TQM, because outside consultants will almost always be required. Choose consultants based on their prior relevant experience and their commitment to adapting the process to fit unique organizational needs. While consultants will be invaluable with initial training of staff and TQM system design, employees (management and others) should be actively involved in TQM implementation, perhaps after receiving training in change management which they can then pass on to other employees. A collaborative relationship with consultants and clear role definitions and specification of activities must be established.
Institutionalization of TQM
Ledford (cited in Packard & Reid, 1990) has proposed a model including four processes which are forces which determine whether a change will persist through the phases of institutionalization. These processes are concerned with congruence among these variables: the change (TQM) with the organization, the change with other changes initiated at the time, the change with environmental demands, and with the level of slack resources in the organization. TQM needs to be congruent with the organization's current culture, and with other changes occurring in the organization. In this period of diminishing resources, organizations are likely to be trying to cope, by downsizing or other methods. In some organizations there are increasing demands for quality or client service improvements. Many such changes are likely to be driven by environmental demands, and TQM may be more likely to be successful than at times of less environmental pressure. Unfortunately, the fourth element, slack resources, is less likely to be present: under current conditions, extra resources (money and staff time) are less likely to be easily available. The challenge is to find a way to make the initial investment outlay to start a process which will pay off in the long term.
Institutionalization may also be enhanced by overlaying another, but compatible, change model: the learning organization (Senge, 1990). This involves, at both the micro and systems levels, staff always learning how to do better and management learning how to be more responsive to staff and the community. Leaders help staff develop their own visions and align these with the organization's vision of quality.
Beckhard and Pritchard (1992) emphasized top management commitment to the change, and Cohen and Brand (1993) apply this specifically to TQM by recommending finding and nurturing a core group which is interested in organizational change. They also emphasize the importance of personal leadership and example: managers need to apply TQM in their daily work and to get people to think about and use the concepts and tools. Ongoing monitoring, and action research to make changes as needed, will be required. And, once again, the systems perspective must be noted: TQM must be built into other systems, particularly those involving planning and rewards. Leaders should expect a long term process, including a transition period. They will need to be persistent, using constant reinforcement, for example, through continuous training. Cohen and Brand suggest that TQM should eventually be made an "invisible" part of the organization, permeating all areas and the responsibility of everyone. TQM may be instituted organization­wide or started in one unit or program and then expanded. Diffusion occurs as TQM is spread from its initial application to other units. Dynamics of resistance mentioned earlier will have to be addressed at this stage.
Some Do's and Don'ts
Following are some miscellaneous do's and don'ts which are based on experiences with TQM in the public sector and the human services. Many are drawn from Cohen and Brand (1993), Hyde (1992), and Chaudron (1992).
First, don't "do TQM": a canned approach is likely to be met with skepticism and ultimately fail because it is not adapted to the uniqueness of a particular organization. TQM is particularly susceptible to this phenomenon, because some adherents adopt almost a religious fervor, (they have been described by one observer as "Deming lemmings" (Reid, 1992). "Deming as demigod" is another way this phenomenon has been described: a statement takes on an added aura when prefaced by "Dr. Deming said..." (Chaudron, 1993). Don't copy any particular model but use relevant basic principles such as an emphasis on quality, continuous analysis of tasks to improve performance, and work with suppliers to enable the organization to start with high quality supplies. TQM should be seen as a process, not a program. It should be integrated into ongoing agency operations, and the focus should be on how an organization can better accomplish its goals and objectives. At the tactical level, don't overemphasize techniques such as statistical process control and the use of charts. Focus instead on the systems ­ the analysis and improvement of processes ­ not on statistics or individual variations.
Whereas some large­scale organizational change efforts are often driven by a centralized steering committee or group of executives, in TQM it may be best to not centralize the effort and establish a separate quality management bureaucracy ("qualiticrats", according to Hyde). Don't believe that top management support is necessary at first, as is axiomatic in organization development. While an organization needn't start TQM at the top, successes in particular units or programs should set the stage for diffusion in other directions. Change from below may be appropriate for those at lower levels who want to initiate TQM. It may work best to start TQM with a temporary task force and then hire trainers, expose staff, and hope that managers will be motivated to learn more. People responsible for leading shouldn't devote full time to TQM; they should maintain their regular work as well. Cohen and Brand believe that TQM is best taught by people doing it day to day in their work. Implement it gradually to ensure meaningful culture change, and use frequent feedback to ensure that change isn't just superficial. There is no need for a "grand plan" (a quality council, etc.); just start where the organization is.
Perhaps the most important "do" worth repeating is to involve employees in the decision making process, at whatever stages and levels possible. As a specific aspect of this, advance negotiations and discussions with any unions present should occur. Create "atmosphere of amnesty" (Cohen & Brand, 1993, 202) so workers and managers feel free to share improvement needs. Tell people what the quality standards are so that inspection and review isn't necessary. Emphasize client feedback and both quantitative and qualitative performance tracking. Make sure quality teams have the necessary tools and resources, such as training, facilitation, and time to meet. In large organizations, regional offices in particular will need lots of support in order to keep the process alive and thriving.
Several suggestions may be offered to managers. First, understand the direct service work of your organization. "Management by walking around" is a useful way to stay in touch with direct service workers and their needs. Practice what you preach: use TQM on your own processes. Meet frequently with middle managers regarding their personal efforts to use TQM. Focus on the nature of the work and try to establish in employees' minds excitement about a new way of working. TQM training will be needed for all involved work groups. Also, horizontal and vertical communication training may be useful to get groups communicating with each other. Team building is a core element of the process, to ensure employee involvement and effective problem solving. Build analysis into the culture: "stop and think about how we work," according to Cohen and Brand. Insist on objective measures of results. Look for visible improvement, but not optimization; and try to generate some quick results in terms of time or money saved. Constantly check with employees to assess their comfort with the process. If people are feeling threatened, slow down. Human resources aspects such as team functioning and analysis must be kept in balance. Prevent or watch for schisms between TQM and human resources functions or other parts of the organization.
Summary
In summary, first assess preconditions and the current state of the organization to make sure the need for change is clear and that TQM is an appropriate strategy. Leadership styles and organizational culture must be congruent with TQM. If they are not, this should be worked on or TQM implementation should be avoided or delayed until favorable conditions exist.
Remember that this will be a difficult, comprehensive, and long­term process. Leaders will need to maintain their commitment, keep the process visible, provide necessary support, and hold people accountable for results. Use input from stakeholder (clients, referring agencies, funding sources, etc.) as possible; and, of course, maximize employee involvement in design of the system.
Always keep in mind that TQM should be purpose­driven. Be clear on the organization's vision for the future and stay focused on it. TQM can be a powerful technique for unleashing employee creativity and potential, reducing bureaucracy and costs, and improving service to clients and the community.
References
Beckhard, R. & Harris, (1987). Organizational Transitions: Managing Complex Change. (2nd ed.) Reading, MA: Addison­Wesley.
Beckhard, R. & Pritchard, W. (1992). Changing the Essence. San Francisco: Jossey­Bass.
Bennis, W. (1989) On Becoming a Leader. Reading, MA: Addison Wesley.
Bennis, W., Benne, K, & Chin, R., Eds. (1985). The Planning of Change. 4th Ed., New York: Holt, Rinehart, & Winston, 98­105.
Bennis, W. & Nanus, B. (1985). Leaders. New York: Harper & Row.
Brager, G. & Holloway, S. (1992). "Assessing the Prospects for Organizational Change: The Uses of Force Field Analysis." Administration in Social Work. 16(3/4), 15­28.
Chaudron, D. (1992). "How OD can help TQM." OD Practitioner. 24(1), 14­18.
Chaudron, D. (1993, June). Organization Development Does not Equal Total Quality Management. Presentation to the San Diego Organization Development Network.
Cohen, S. & Brand, R. (1993). Total Quality Management in Government. San Francisco: Jossey­Bass, Inc.
Ezell, M., Menefee, D., & Patti, R. (1989). "Managerial Leadership and Service Quality: Toward a Model of Social Work Administration," Administration in Social Work. 13(3/4), 73­98.
Gilbert, G. (1992). "Quality Improvement in a Defense Organization," Public Productivity and Management Review. 16(1), 65­75.
Hyde, A. (1992). "The Proverbs of Total Quality Management: Recharting the Path to Quality Improvement in the Public Sector," Public Productivity and Management Review. 16(1), 25­37.
Kanter, R. (1983). The Change Masters. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Martin, L. (1993). "Total Quality Management: The New Managerial Wave." Administration in Social Work. 17(2), 1­15.
Milakovich, M. (1991). "Total Quality Management in the Public Sector," National Productivity Review. 10, 195­213.
Nanus, B. (1992). Visionary Leadership. San Francisco: Jossey­Bass.
Osborne, D. & Gaebler, T. (1992). Reinventing Government. Reading, MA: Addison­Wesley.
Packard, T. (1989). Participation in decision making, Performance, and job satisfaction in a social work bureaucracy. Administration in Social Work. 13(1), 59­73.
Packard. T. & Reid, R. (1990). "OD in a Fire Department: Lessons in Using Parallel Structures and Institutionalization," Consultation. 9, 167­184.
Pruger, R. & Miller, L. (1991). "Efficiency," Administration in Social Work. 15(1/2), 42.
Rapp, C. & Poertner, J. (1992). Social Administration: A Client­Centered Approach. New York: Longman.
Reid, R. (1992). Personal communication.
Robey, D. (1991). Designing Organizations 3rd ed., Homewood, IL: Irwin, p. 42.
Senge, P. (1990). The Fifth Discipline. New York: Doubleday Currency.
Sugarman, B. (1988). "The Well­Managed Human Service Organization: Criteria for a Management Audit," Administration in Social Work. 12(2), 17­27.
Swiss, J. (1992). "Adapting TQM to Government," Public Administration Review. 52, 356­362.
Tichey, N. (1983). Managing Strategic Change. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Vroom, V. and Yetton, P. (1973). Leadership and Decision Making. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.

Force Field Analysis in TQM

The analysis of the force field involves looking at which driving forces may be strengthened and which restraining forces may be eliminated, mitigated, or counteracted. If it appears that, overall, driving forces are strong enough to move back restraining forces, adoption of TQM would be worth pursuing. The change plan would include tactics designed to move the relevant forces.
It is also important to note and validate any points of resistance which are, in fact, legitimate, such as the limited amount of staff time available for TQM meetings. Klein (cited in Bennis, Benne, & Chin, 1985) encouraged change agents to validate the role of the "defender" of the status quo and respond to legitimate concerns raised. This will allow appropriate adaptations of the TQM process to account for unique organizational circumstances. Sell TQM based on the organization's real needs, note legitimate risks and negatives, and allow improvements in your own procedures. This should enhance your credibility and show your openness to critically looking at the process.
Another way to address resistance is to get all employees on the same side, in alignment towards the same goal. Leadership is the mechanism for this, and specific models known as transformational or visionary leadership (Bennis & Nanus, 1985) are most effective. Research on change implementation (Nutt, cited in Robey, 1991) has identified four methods. The first, "intervention," involves a key executive justifying the need for change, monitoring the process, defining acceptable performance, and demonstrating how improvements can be made. This was found to be more successful than "participation," in which representatives of different interest groups determine the features of the change. Participation was found to be more successful than "persuasion" (experts attempting to sell changes they have devised) or "edict," the least successful. Transformational or visionary leadership, the approach suggested here, is an example of the intervention approach. This would involve a leader articulating a compelling vision of an ideal organization and how TQM would help the vision be actualized. These principles will be discussed in more detail in a later section, as a framework for the change strategy.
A powerful way to decrease resistance to change is to increase the participation of employees in making decisions about various aspects of the process. There are actually two rationales for employee participation (Packard, 1989). The more common reason is to increase employee commitment to the resultant outcomes, as they will feel a greater stake or sense of ownership in what is decided. A second rationale is that employees have a great deal of knowledge and skill relevant to the issue at hand (in this case, increasing quality, identifying problems, and improving work processes), and their input should lead to higher quality decisions. A manager should consider any decision area as a possibility for employee participation, with the understanding that participation is not always appropriate (Vroom and Yetton, 1973). Employees or their representatives may be involved in decision areas ranging from the scope and overall approach of the TQM process to teams engaging in quality analysis and suggestions for improvements. They may also be involved in ancillary areas such as redesign of the organization's structure, information system, or reward system. Involvement of formal employee groups such as unions is a special consideration which may also greatly aid TQM implementation.
A change agent should understand that, overall, change will occur when three factors (dissatisfaction with the status quo, desirability of the proposed change, the practicality of the change) added together are greater than the "cost" of changing (time spent in learning, adapting new roles and procedures, etc.) (Beckhard and Harris, 1987). This is represented in the formula in Exhibit II. Any key group or individual will need a level of dissatisfaction with the status quo, must see a desired improved state, and must believe that the change will have minimal disruption. In other words, the change (TQM) must be seen as responding to real problems and worth the effort or cost in getting there. Conditions favoring change may be created by modifying these variables. The change agent may try to demonstrate how bad things are, or amplify others' feelings of dissatisfaction; and then present a picture of how TQM could solve current problems. The final step of modifying the equation is to convince people that the change process, while it will take time and effort, will not be prohibitively onerous. The organization as a whole and each person will be judging the prospect of TQM from this perspective. A variation of this is the WIIFM principle: "What's in it for me?" To embrace TQM, individuals must be shown how it will be worth it for them.

TQM As a Tool to Affect Organizational Change

Introduction
While Total Quality Management has proven to be an effective process for improving organizational functioning, its value can only be assured through a comprehensive and well­thought­out implementation process. The purpose of this chapter is to outline key aspects of implementation of large­scale organizational change which may enable a practitioner to more thoughtfully and successfully implement TQM. First, the context will be set. TQM is, in fact, a large­scale systems change, and guiding principles and considerations regarding this scale of change will be presented. Without attention to contextual factors, well­intended changes may not be adequately designed. As another aspect of context, the expectations and perceptions of employees (workers and managers) will be assessed, so that the implementation plan can address them. Specifically, sources of resistance to change and ways of dealing with them will be discussed. This is important to allow a change agent to anticipate resistances and design for them, so that the process does not bog down or stall. Next, a model of implementation will be presented, including a discussion of key principles. Visionary leadership will be offered as an overriding perspective for someone instituting TQM. In recent years the literature on change management and leadership has grown steadily, and applications based on research findings will be more likely to succeed. Use of tested principles will also enable the change agent to avoid reinventing the proverbial wheel. Implementation principles will be followed by a review of steps in managing the transition to the new system and ways of helping institutionalize the process as part of the organization's culture. This section, too, will be informed by current writing in transition management and institutionalization of change. Finally, some miscellaneous do's and don't's will be offered.
Members of any organization have stories to tell of the introduction of new programs, techniques, systems, or even, in current terminology, paradigms. Usually the employee, who can be anywhere from the line worker to the executive level, describes such an incident with a combination of cynicism and disappointment: some manager went to a conference or in some other way got a "great idea" (or did it based on threat or desperation such as an urgent need to cut costs) and came back to work to enthusiastically present it, usually mandating its implementation. The "program" probably raised people's expectations that this time things would improve, that management would listen to their ideas. Such a program usually is introduced with fanfare, plans are made, and things slowly return to normal. The manager blames unresponsive employees, line workers blame executives interested only in looking good, and all complain about the resistant middle managers. Unfortunately, the program itself is usually seen as worthless: "we tried team building (or organization development or quality circles or what have you) and it didn't work; neither will TQM". Planned change processes often work, if conceptualized and implemented properly; but, unfortunately, every organization is different, and the processes are often adopted "off the shelf" ­ "the 'appliance model of organizational change': buy a complete program, like a 'quality circle package,' from a dealer, plug it in, and hope that it runs by itself" (Kanter, 1983, 249). Alternatively, especially in the under­funded public and not­for­profit sectors, partial applications are tried, and in spite of management and employee commitment do not bear fruit. This chapter will focus on ways of preventing some of these disappointments.
In summary, the purpose here is to review principles of effective planned change implementation and suggest specific TQM applications. Several assumptions are proposed: 1. TQM is a viable and effective planned change method, when properly installed; 2. not all organizations are appropriate or ready for TQM; 3. preconditions (appropriateness, readiness) for successful TQM can sometimes be created; and 4. leadership commitment to a large­scale, long­term, cultural change is necessary. While problems in adapting TQM in government and social service organizations have been identified, TQM can be useful in such organizations if properly modified (Milakovich, 1991; Swiss, 1992).
TQM as Large­Sale Systems Change
TQM is at first glance seen primarily as a change in an organization's technology ­ its way of doing work. In the human services, this means the way clients are processed ­ the service delivery methods applied to them ­ and ancillary organizational processes such as paperwork, procurement processes, and other procedures. But TQM is also a change in an organization's culture ­ its norms, values, and belief systems about how organizations function. And finally, it is a change in an organization's political system: decision making processes and power bases. For substantive change to occur, changes in these three dimensions must be aligned: TQM as a technological change will not be successful unless cultural and political dimensions are attended to as well (Tichey, 1983).
Many (e.g., Hyde, 1992; Chaudron, 1992) have noted that TQM results in a radical change in the culture and the way of work in an organization. A fundamental factor is leadership, including philosophy, style, and behavior. These must be congruent as they are presented by a leader. Many so­called enlightened leaders of today espouse a participative style which is not, in fact, practiced to any appreciable degree. Any manager serious about embarking on a culture change such as TQM should reflect seriously on how she or he feels and behaves regarding these factors. For many managers, a personal program of leadership development (e.g., Bennis, 1989) may be a prerequisite to effective functioning as an internal change agent advocating TQM.
Other key considerations have to do with alignment among various organizational systems (Chaudron, 1992; Hyde, 1992). For example, human resource systems, including job design, selection processes, compensation and rewards, performance appraisal, and training and development must align with and support the new TQM culture. Less obvious but no less important will be changes required in other systems. Information systems will need to be redesigned to measure and track new things such as service quality. Financial management processes may also need attention through the realignment of budgeting and resource allocation systems. Organizational structure and design will be different under TQM: layers of management may be reduced and organizational roles will certainly change. In particular, middle management and first line supervisors will be operating in new ways. Instead of acting as monitors, order­givers, and agents of control they will serve as boundary managers, coordinators, and leaders who assist line workers in getting their jobs done. To deal with fears of layoffs, all employees should be assured that no one will lose employment as a result of TQM changes: jobs may change, perhaps radically, but no one will be laid off. Hyde (1992) has recommended that we "disperse and transform, not replace, mid­level managers." This no layoff principle has been a common one in joint labor­management change processes such as quality of working life projects for many years.
Another systems consideration is that TQM should evolve from the organization's strategic plan and be based on stakeholder expectations. This type of planning and stance regarding environmental relations is receiving more attention but still is not common in the human services. As will be discussed below, TQM is often proposed based on environmental conditions such as the need to cut costs or demands for increased responsiveness to stakeholders. A manager may also adopt TQM as a way of being seen at the proverbial cutting edge, because it is currently popular. This is not a good motivation to use TQM and will be likely to lead to a cosmetic or superficial application, resulting in failure and disappointment. TQM should be purpose­oriented: it should be used because an organization's leaders feel a need to make the organization more effective. It should be driven by results and not be seen as an end in itself. If TQM is introduced without consideration of real organizational needs and conditions, it will be met by skepticism on the part of both managers and workers. We will now move to a discussion of the ways in which people may react to TQM.
People's Expectations and Perceptions
Many employees may see TQM as a fad, remembering past "fads" such as quality circles, management by objectives, and zero­based budgeting. As was noted above, TQM must be used not just as a fad or new program, but must be related to key organizational problems, needs, and outcomes. Fortunately, Martin (1993) has noted that TQM as a "managerial wave" has more in common with social work than have some past ones such as MBO or ZBB, and its adaptations may therefore be easier.
In another vein, workers may see management as only concerned about the product, not staff needs. Management initiatives focused on concerns such as budget or cost will not resonate with beleaguered line workers. Furthermore, staff may see quality as not needing attention: they may believe that their services are already excellent or that quality is a peripheral concern in these days of cutbacks and multi problem clients. For a child protective service worker, just getting through the day and perhaps mitigating the most severe cases of abuse may be all that one expects. Partly because of heavy service demands, and partly because of professional training of human service workers, which places heavy value on direct service activities with clients, there may be a lack of interest on the part of many line workers in efficiency or even effectiveness and outcomes (Pruger & Miller, 1991; Ezell, Menefee, & Patti, 1989). This challenge should be addressed by all administrators (Rapp & Poertner, 1992), and in particular any interested in TQM.
Workers may have needs and concerns, such as lower caseloads and less bureaucracy, which are different from those of administration. For TQM to work, employees must see a need (e.g., for improved quality from their perspective) and how TQM may help. Fortunately, there are win­win ways to present this. TQM is focused on quality, presumably a concern of both management and workers, and methods improvements should eliminate wasteful bureaucratic activities, save money, and make more human resources available for core activities, specifically client service.
Sources of Resistance
Implementation of large­scale change such as TQM will inevitably face resistance, which should be addressed directly by change agents. A key element of TQM is working with customers, and the notion of soliciting feedback/expectations from customers/clients and collaborating with them, perhaps with customers defining quality, is a radical one in many agencies, particularly those serving involuntary clients (e.g., protective services). Historical worker antipathy to the use of statistics and data in the human services may carry over into views of TQM, which encourages the gathering and analysis of data on service quality. At another level, management resistance to employee empowerment is likely. They may see decision making authority in zero­sum terms: if employees have more involvement in decision making, managers will have less. In fact, one principle in employee involvement is that each level will be more empowered, and managers lose none of their fundamental authority. There will undoubtedly be changes in their roles, however. As was noted above, they will spend less time on control and more on facilitation. For many traditional managers, this transition will require teaching/training, self reflection, and time as well as assurances from upper management that they are not in danger of being displaced.
Resistance in other parts of the organization will show up if TQM is introduced on a pilot basis or only in particular programs (Hyde, 1992). Kanter (1983) has referred to this perspective as segmentalism: each unit or program sees itself as separate and unique, with nothing to learn from others and no need to collaborate with them. This shows up in the "not invented here" syndrome: those not involved in the initial development of an idea feel no ownership for it. On a broader level, there may be employee resistance to industry examples used in TQM ­ terms like inventory or order backlog (Cohen and Brand, 1993, 122).
Dealing with Resistance
There are several tactics which can be helpful in dealing with resistance to TQM implementation. Generally, they have to do with acknowledging legitimate resistance and changing tactics based on it, using effective leadership to enroll people in the vision of TQM, and using employee participation.
A useful technique to systematically identify areas of resistance is a force field analysis (Brager & Holloway, 1992). This technique was originally developed by Kurt Lewin as an assessment tool for organizational change. It involves creating a force field of driving forces, which aid the change or make it more likely to occur, and restraining forces, which are points of resistance or things getting in the way of change. Start by identifying the change goal, in this case, implementation of TQM. Represent this by drawing a line down the middle of a piece of paper. Slightly to its left, draw a parallel line which represents the current state of the organization. The change process involves moving from the current state to the ideal future state, an organization effectively using TQM. To the left of the second line (the current state), list all forces (individuals, key groups, or conditions) which may assist in the implementation of TQM. These may include environmental pressures leading to reduced funds, staff who may like to be more involved in agency decision making, and the successful applications of TQM elsewhere. On the other side, list restraining forces which will make the change implementation more difficult. Examples may be middle management fear of loss of control, lack of time for line workers to take for TQM meetings, and skepticism based on the organization's poor track record regarding change. Arrows from both sides touching the "current state" line represent the constellation of forces. Each force is then assessed in two ways: its potency or strength, and its amenability to change. More potent forces, especially restraining ones, will need greater attention. Those not amenable to change will have to be counteracted by driving forces.

Saturday, October 20, 2007

Six Sigma in Motorola

For Motorola, the originator of Six Sigma, the answer to the question "Why Six Sigma?" was simple: survival. Motorola came to Six Sigma because it was being consistently beaten in the competitive marketplace by foreign firms that were able to produce higher quality products at a lower cost. When a Japanese firm took over a Motorola factory that manufactured Quasar television sets in the United States in the 1970s, they promptly set about making drastic changes in the way the factory operated. Under Japanese management, the factory was soon producing TV sets with 1/20th the number of defects they had produced under Motorola management. They did this using the same workforce, technology, and designs, making it clear that the problem was Motorola's management. Eventually, even Motorola's own executives had to admit "our quality stinks,"[i]
Finally, in the mid 1980s, Motorola decided to take quality seriously. Motorola's CEO at the time, Bob Galvin, started the company on the quality path known as Six Sigma and became a business icon largely as a result of what he accomplished in quality at Motorola. Today, Motorola is known worldwide as a quality leader and a profit leader. After Motorola won the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award in 1988 the secret of their success became public knowledge and the Six Sigma revolution was on. Today it's hotter than ever.
It would be a mistake to think that Six Sigma is about quality in the traditional sense. Quality, defined traditionally as conformance to internal requirements, has little to do with Six Sigma. Six Sigma is about helping the organization make more money. To link this objective of Six Sigma with quality requires a new definition of quality. For Six Sigma purposes I define quality as the value added by a productive endeavor. Quality comes in two flavors: potential quality and actual quality. Potential quality is the known maximum possible value added per unit of input. Actual quality is the current value added per unit of input. The difference between potential and actual quality is waste. Six Sigma focuses on improving quality (i.e., reducing waste) by helping organizations produce products and services better, faster and cheaper. In more traditional terms, Six Sigma focuses on defect prevention, cycle time reduction, and cost savings. Unlike mindless cost-cutting programs which reduce value and quality, Six Sigma identifies and eliminates costs which provide no value to customers: waste costs.
For non-Six Sigma companies, these costs are often extremely high. Companies operating at three or four sigma typically spend between 25 and 40 percent of their revenues fixing problems. This is known as the cost of quality, or more accurately the cost of poor quality. Companies operating at Six Sigma typically spend less than 5 percent of their revenues fixing problems (Figure 1). The dollar cost of this gap can be huge. General Electric estimates that the gap between three or four sigma and Six Sigma was costing them between $8 billion and $12 billion per year.
Figure 1: Cost of Poor Quality versus Sigma Level
What is Six Sigma?
Six Sigma is a rigorous, focused and highly effective implementation of proven quality principles and techniques. Incorporating elements from the work of many quality pioneers, Six Sigma aims for virtually error free business performance. Sigma, s, is a letter in the Greek alphabet used by statisticians to measure the variability in any process. A company's performance is measured by the sigma level of their business processes. Traditionally companies accepted three or four sigma performance levels as the norm, despite the fact that these processes created between 6,200 and 67,000 problems per million opportunities! The Six Sigma standard of 3.4 problems per million opportunities[1][1] is a response to the increasing expectations of customers and the increased complexity of modern products and processes.
If you're looking for new techniques, don't bother. Six Sigma's magic isn't in statistical or high-tech razzle-dazzle. Six Sigma relies on tried and true methods that have been around for decades. In fact, Six Sigma discards a great deal of the complexity that characterized Total Quality Management (TQM). By one expert's count, there were over 400 TQM tools and techniques. Six Sigma takes a handful of proven methods and trains a small cadre of in-house technical leaders, known as Six Sigma Black Belts, to a high level of proficiency in the application of these techniques. To be sure, some of the methods used by Black Belts are highly advanced, including the use of up-to-date computer technology. But the tools are applied within a simple performance improvement model known as DMAIC, or Define-Measure-Analyze-Improve-Control[1][2]. DMAIC can be described as follows:
D
Define the goals of the improvement activity. At the top level the goals will be the strategic objectives of the organization, such as a higher ROI or market share. At the operations level, a goal might be to increase the throughput of a production department. At the project level goals might be to reduce the defect level and increase throughput. Apply data mining methods to identify potential improvement opportunities.
M
Measure the existing system. Establish valid and reliable metrics to help monitor progress towards the goal(s) defined at the previous step. Begin by determining the current baseline. Use exploratory and descriptive data analysis to help you understand the data.
A
Analyze the system to identify ways to eliminate the gap between the current performance of the system or process and the desired goal. Apply statistical tools to guide the analysis.
I
Improve the system. Be creative in finding new ways to do things better, cheaper, or faster. Use project management and other planning and management tools to implement the new approach. Use statistical methods to validate the improvement.
C
Control the new system. Institutionalize the improved system by modifying compensation and incentive systems, policies, procedures, MRP, budgets, operating instructions and other management systems. You may wish to utilize systems such as ISO 9000 to assure that documentation is correct.

Infrastructure
A very powerful feature of Six Sigma is the creation of an infrastructure to ensure that performance improvement activities have the necessary resources. In this author's opinion, failure to provide this infrastructure is the #1 reason why 80% of all TQM implementations failed in the past. Six Sigma makes improvement and change the full-time job of a small but critical percentage of the organization's personnel. These full time change agents are the catalyst that institutionalizes change. Figure 2 illustrates the required human resource commitment required by Six Sigma.
Figure 2: Six Sigma Infrastructure
Leadership
Six Sigma involves changing major business value streams that cut across organizational barriers. It is the means by which the organization's strategic goals are to be achieved. This effort cannot be led by anyone other than the CEO, who is responsible for the performance of the organization as a whole. Six Sigma must be implemented from the top-down.
Champions and Sponsors
Six Sigma champions are high-level individuals who understand Six Sigma and are committed to its success. In larger organizations Six Sigma will be led by a full time, high level champion, such as an Executive Vice-President. In all organizations, champions also include informal leaders who use Six Sigma in their day-to-day work and communicate the Six Sigma message at every opportunity. Sponsors are owners of processes and systems who help initiate and coordinate Six Sigma improvement activities in their areas of responsibilities.
Master Black Belt
This is the highest level of technical and organizational proficiency. Master Black Belts provide technical leadership of the Six Sigma program. Thus, they must know everything the Black Belts know, as well as understand the mathematical theory on which the statistical methods are based. Master Black Belts must be able to assist Black Belts in applying the methods correctly in unusual situations. Whenever possible, statistical training should be conducted only by Master Black Belts. Otherwise the familiar "propagation of error" phenomenon will occur, i.e., Black Belts pass on errors to green belts, who pass on greater errors to team members. If it becomes necessary for Black Belts and Green Belts to provide training, they should do only so under the guidance of Master Black Belts. For example, Black Belts may be asked to provide assistance to the Master during class discussions and exercises. Because of the nature of the Master's duties, communications and teaching skills are as important as technical competence.
Black Belt
Candidates for Black Belt status are technically oriented individuals held in high regard by their peers. They should be actively involved in the process of organizational change and development. Candidates may come from a wide range of disciplines and need not be formally trained statisticians or engineers. However, because they are expected to master a wide variety of technical tools in a relatively short period of time, Black Belt candidates will probably possess a background including college-level mathematics and the basic tool of quantitative analysis. Coursework in statistical methods may be considered a strong plus or even a prerequisite. As part of their training, Black Belts receive 160 hours of classroom instruction, plus one-on-one project coaching from Master Black Belts or consultants.
Successful candidates will be comfortable with computers. At a minimum, they should understand one or more operating systems, spreadsheets, database managers, presentation programs, and word processors. As part of their training they will be required to become proficient in the use of one or more advanced statistical analysis software packages. Six Sigma Black Belts work to extract actionable knowledge from an organization's information warehouse. To ensure access to the needed information, Six Sigma activities should be closely integrated with the information systems (IS) of the organization. Obviously, the skills and training of Six Sigma Black Belts must be enabled by an investment in software and hardware. It makes no sense to hamstring these experts by saving a few dollars on computers or software.
Green Belt
Green Belts are Six Sigma project leaders capable of forming and facilitating Six Sigma teams and managing Six Sigma projects from concept to completion. Green Belt training consists of five days of classroom training and is conducted in conjunction with Six Sigma projects. Training covers project management, quality management tools, quality control tools, problem solving, and descriptive data analysis. Six Sigma champions should attend Green Belt training. Usually, Six Sigma Black Belts help Green Belts define their projects prior to the training, attend training with their Green Belts, and assist them with their projects after the training.
Staffing Levels and Expected Returns
As stated earlier in this article, the number of full time personnel devoted to Six Sigma is not large. Mature Six Sigma programs, such as those of Motorola, General Electric, Johnson & Johnson, AlliedSignal, and others average about one-percent of their workforce as Black Belts. There is usually about one Master Black Belts for every ten Black Belts, or about 1 Master Black Belt per 1,000 employees. A Black Belt will typically complete 5 to 7 projects per year. Project teams are led by Green Belts, who, unlike Black Belts and Master Black Belts, are not employed full time in the Six Sigma program. Black Belts are highly prized employees and are often recruited for key management positions elsewhere in the company. After Six Sigma has been in place for three or more years, the number of former Black Belts tends to be about the same as the number of active Black Belts.
Estimated savings per project varies from organization to organization. Reported results average about US$150,000 to US$243,000. Note that these are not the huge mega-projects pursued by Re-engineering. Yet, by completing 5 to 7 projects per year per Black Belt, the company will add in excess of US$1 million per year per Black Belt to its bottom line. For a company with 1,000 employees the numbers would look something like this:
Master Black Belts: 1
Black Belts: 10
Projects: = 50 to 70 (5 to 7 per Black Belt)
Estimated saving: US$9 million to US$14.6 million (US$14,580 per employee)
Do the math for your organization and see what Six Sigma could do for you. Because Six Sigma savings impact only non-value added costs, they flow directly to your company's bottom line.

Implementation of Six Sigma
After over two decades of experience with quality improvement, there is now a solid body of scientific research regarding the experience of thousands of companies implementing major programs such as Six Sigma. Researchers have found that successful deployment of Six Sigma involves focusing on a small number of high-leverage items. The steps required to successfully implement Six Sigma are well-documented.
1. Successful performance improvement must begin with senior leadership. Start by providing senior leadership with training in the principles and tools they need to prepare their organization for success. Using their newly acquired knowledge, senior leaders direct the development of a management infrastructure to support Six Sigma. Simultaneously, steps are taken to "soft-wire" the organization and to cultivate an environment for innovation and creativity. This involves reducing levels of organizational hierarchy, removing procedural barriers to experimentation and change, and a variety of other changes designed to make it easier to try new things without fear of reprisal.
2. Systems are developed for establishing close communication with customers, employees, and suppliers. This includes developing rigorous methods of obtaining and evaluating customer, employee and supplier input. Base line studies are conducted to determine the starting point and to identify cultural, policy, and procedural obstacles to success.
3. Training needs are rigorously assessed. Remedial skills education is provided to assure that adequate levels of literacy and numeracy are possessed by all employees. Top-to-bottom training is conducted in systems improvement tools, techniques, and philosophies.
4. A framework for continuous process improvement is developed, along with a system of indicators for monitoring progress and success. Six Sigma metrics focus on the organization's strategic goals, drivers, and key business processes.
5. Business processes to be improved are chosen by management, and by people with intimate process knowledge at all levels of the organization. Six Sigma projects are conducted to improve business performance linked to measurable financial results. This requires knowledge of the organization's constraints.
6. Six Sigma projects are conducted by individual employees and teams led by Green Belts and assisted by Black Belts.
Although the approach is simple, it is by no means easy. But the results justify the effort expended. Research has shown that firms that successfully implement Six Sigma perform better in virtually every business category, including return on sales, return on investment, employment growth, and share price increase. When will you be ready to join the Six Sigma revolution?

The Global Talent Race

Global companies based in the developing world look much like their developed-world counterparts. They manage their employees with similar policies and pay practices. In this world of sameness, differentiating the employment brand requires a new focus on career development.

workforce management is an extreme sport in Hyderabad, India, a first-tier offshore hotspot where foreign multinationals compete with Indian companies for software engineers and managers. In the mad scramble to recruit and retain employees, annual sal­ary adjustments have turned into quarterly raises. The average wage increase for 2006 will top 12 percent.
Labor cost savings for U.S.-based companies operating in India could shrink from 80 percent to 40 percent within a decade, according to Andy Goodman, executive vice president of human resources at Islandia, New York-based CA Inc., formerly Computer Associates International, which employs 1,100 workers in its Hyderabad software development center. "But even so, India will still represent a significant economic value," he says. "It is really a question of exploiting the global talent pool wherever it exists."
Increasingly, that global talent pool lies outside the United States and Europe. Half of CA’s 15,800 employees work in foreign countries. Since 2000, U.S.-based multinationals have consistently reduced the number of workers employed in the United States and increased the number employed abroad.
Thirty-three million young professionals with university degrees and work experience now live in 28 low-wage countries, compared with 15 million in eight high-wage nations, including 7.7 million in the United States, according to McKinsey & Co. The number of university graduates from the low-wage countries is increasing at an annual rate of 5.5 percent, compared with just 1 percent in the high-wage countries.
This shift in the location of critical knowledge workers will continue to draw more developed-nation multinationals into developing-country labor markets. At the same time, relatively new multinationals based in the developing countries are dominating their local markets, expanding abroad and adopting the same global compensation and performance management systems used by developed-nation multinationals.
For both developed- and developing-nation multinationals, labor arbitrage is a fully formed corporate strategy, with the cost savings already built into profits. As wages rise in first-tier offshore cities such as Bangalore, Shanghai, China, and Prague, Czech Republic, U.S. and Indian multinationals alike are moving to Jaipur, India, Chengdu, China, and Kiev, Ukraine. Ho Chi Minh City is the new Manila.
The upshot for workforce management is that increasingly indistinguishable companies are following one another around the world, offering the same compensation packages to the same workers. Creating differentiation to attract and retain top talent is now the global challenge. And staying one geographic step ahead of the global competition on the arbitrage map means re-creating that differentiation again and again in different locations.
Global Systems Eighty-five percent of multinationals have a global pay strategy in place, and the remaining 15 percent plan to introduce one by 2007, according to a 2005 survey of 90 multinationals by Mercer Human Resource Consulting. These global strategies consistently include policies on positioning pay relative to the market, short-term and long-term incentive design and methodologies for job grading. More than half incorporate fixed guidelines.
CA’s global system includes an annual universal performance evaluation that captures value-based behaviors, role effectiveness and delivery of objectives. The company communicates performance management standards to all employees through its intranet; managers use an automated global repository for performance ratings.
The notable exceptions to CA’s annual compensation and performance management cycle occur in the emerging markets. "There, the competitive marketplace is moving so rapidly that an annual adjustment is not sufficient," Goodman says. "In particular, India is a very competitive marketplace because there are so many organizations focused there. Every company that comes in basically determines that it’s going to offer a 25 percent increase on the current levels. This drives everyone into the same competitive spin."
In Hyderabad, CA competes against India-based multinationals such as Zensar Technologies. Forty percent of Zensar’s 3,000 employees are based outside India in 18 countries, including the United States, Germany, China, Japan and South Africa. Yogesh Patgaonkar, associate vice president and head of human resources, manages Zensar’s workforce with the same global compensation and performance management reach that CA employs.
Getting Sticky Both Patgaonkar and Goodman use intangibles to create differentiation and retain talent in Hyderabad. "Our first task is to remain competitive and holistic in our compensation structures," Goodman says. "The second is to reinforce other retention vehicles such as training, work environment and career pathing." Those are the differentials, he says, that help CA stay "sticky."
"It can’t purely be a bidding war with business conducted on a mercenary basis," Goodman notes. "It is difficult to stand still and not be reactive to the marketplace, but the degree to which you need to do that is dependent on the other aspects you put in place to retain talent."

"It can’t purely be a bidding war with business conducted on a mercenary basis. It is difficult to stand still and not be reactive to the marketplace, but the degree to which you need to do that is dependent on the other aspects you put in place to retain talent."--Andy Goodman, CA Inc.

Zensar uses multiple strategies to retain workers, but Patgaonkar draws the line at biannual wage increases, even in the most competitive labor markets. "Every company has finite resources," he says. "We prioritize our budget to take care of our critical talent. But we also have to worry about the cost of operations."
Zensar aligns itself with the market for base salaries and sets variable pay at 20 percent to 25 percent, using a range of skill- or knowledge-based incentives and longevity bonuses. The company also uses stock option awards based purely on performance, with about 15 percent of employees qualifying.
Most important, with a roster of Fortune 500 clients that includes IBM, Fidelity and Accenture and key partners such as Oracle, SAP and Microsoft, Zensar can offer its employees the same career development opportunities as the large U.S. multinationals. "People want more than a brand," Patgaonkar says. "They want careers. We offer career building that makes us as competitive or more competitive than the U.S. companies. We have been operating in the global market for some time now, and we understand the motives that employees have in working for us. People from the great brands come and join us all over the world."
Patgaonkar is far more concerned about retaining the 30 percent of the workforce that the company categorizes as critical talent than he is about general turnover. "Our compensation philosophy is to differentiate, prioritize and reward performance--everywhere. We keep it extremely simple and extremely transparent." Managers use a global system to report results, with all information centralized at headquarters in Pune.
Both CA and Zensar work with universities in all their locations to help staff technical jobs, but filling managerial positions is even more difficult. Although the business press often notes the shortage of managerial talent in the developing countries, Goodman disputes that focus. "It’s difficult to find good managerial talent anywhere," he says. "Obviously there are some additional complexities when you start moving into the global landscape, but for the most part, management capabilities are a challenge in all locations."
For U.S.-based multinationals, the overall shortage of managerial talent is exacerbated by the fact that the developing-country multinationals now match the salaries and career opportunities offered by U.S. firms. To relieve some of the pressure, CA uses expatriates on a selective basis.
Zensar addresses the managerial talent shortage by partnering with business schools and connecting with MBA candidates as soon as they are admitted. "We call this program ‘catch them in the cradle,’ " Patgaonkar says. "When they graduate, they come straight to work for Zensar." Top managers spend a considerable amount of time at the schools.
In addition, Zensar identifies technical employees who want to move into the management domain and covers their expenses for completing an MBA program. "Outside of India, we run similar programs to recruit and train both technical and managerial talent," Patgaonkar says. "We recruit from all of the premier campuses and use our own training centers so that employees continue to grow."
Roaming Arbitrage Career development will become more important as multinationals push offshoring to the next stage. Offshoring is no longer under serious challenge anywhere in the world--the business case is simply too strong. Cost comparisons still drive most offshoring decisions, according to the Everest Research Institute, and will continue to do so for the next 30 years. With wages rising 6 percent to 15 percent a year in the first- and second-tier locations, multinationals are moving into a third tier.
"The cost advantages will remain, but the global reality is that the margins will become narrower and narrower," Goodman says. "At the same time, it must be remembered that we are getting better at remote and global management and developing global managerial talent, so the productivity coming out of locations such as India is growing. Even if the margins loss is there, there will be value gained."
Goodman notes that India’s strong talent pool and education system have attracted a number of global companies. "However, other emerging markets such as China are going to begin to take some market share and play a larger role in organizations looking to exploit the global talent pool and gain some economic leverage around the world," he says. "But organizations are not looking for an exit strategy from India. The demand will remain fairly consistent."
Still, multinationals will have to move farther afield as markets tighten in current offshore sites. McKinsey estimates that the supply of suitable labor will be squeezed in Prague as early as this year and in Hyderabad by 2008. In China, multinationals have been avoiding the first-tier cities for years in favor of second-tier locations such as Chengdu, Hangzhou and Nanjing.
Intel announced February 28 that it will open a $300 million semiconductor assembly and test facility with 1,200 employees in Ho Chi Minh City. Cost pressures pushed Intel to move into Vietnam instead of expanding existing capacity in China, the Philippines and Malaysia.
U.K.-based TalkTalk announced February 6 that it will open call centers in Cape Town and Johannesburg, South Africa, bypassing established hubs in Manila and Delhi. Junior customer service representatives average just $1.86 an hour in Manila, according to the Boyd Co., a site selection consultancy based in Princeton, New Jersey. But wage increases in the Philippines will top 9 percent this year. Wages average a low $1.91 in Delhi, but call center turnover has become too costly.
India certainly still has appeal for companies, which are seeking customers as well as workers there. Dell Inc. last month announced plans to double its number of employees in India in three years. The company currently has 10,000 employees there. Most of the new hires will be for the company’s call centers, but Dell also intends to hire for product testing and possibly manufacturing jobs.
At CA, the process for determining which work goes offshore and where it will be located is, of course, a strategic business decision.
Human resources "assists with information on labor markets and skill sets and the viability of sending work to a specific location," Goodman says.
"HR also helps to determine whether a particular body of work should be U.S.-driven and supported by an offshore workforce, or whether we’re moving the whole project offshore."
With 33 million reasons to move into labor markets in the developing countries, the offshore preference will grow as developed-nation multinationals continue to look for talent at the lowest cost. Signing on that talent, however, will be more difficult as global players proliferate and compete for technical, professional and managerial employees. Differentiating the firm on the basis of superior career opportunities and pushing into third-tier cities will form the core of global workforce management in the years to come.